A volcanologist is monitoring a volcano that has erupted every 12 years on average. If the last eruption was in 2003, in what year will the next eruption most likely occur?

Sun, 03 May 2026 18:59:19 +0000

**Why the Next Eruption of This Volcano Is Most Likely in 2015 — and What It Means** Volcanic activity shaped by predictable patterns — and right now, the world is watching a monitored volcano that erupts roughly every 12 years. With the last major eruption in 2003, curiosity is growing about when the next event might occur. Could another 12-year cycle mean 2015? Actually, the answer is more nuanced — and grounded in the science behind eruption cycles. ### Why Days of Monitoring This Volcano Are Catching Public Interest The idea of a volcano erupting every 12 years captures attention in an age of heightened awareness around natural risks and climate patterns. Though true eruption cycles vary by volcano, monitoring professionals emphasize consistency in long-term monitoring efforts help validate patterns, even if real-world timing isn’t perfectly regular. Social media, science journalism, and educational platforms increasingly frame such timelines as reliable reference points — fueling public interest during periods of renewed geological discussion.